May
19
3:00 PM15:00

Haishi "Harry" Li (UCSD): The Employment Consequences of Anti-Dumping Tariffs: Lessons from Brazil

Can anti-dumping tariffs increase employment? To answer this question we compile data on all anti-dumping (AD) investigations in Brazil, which we match to firm-level administrative employment information. Using difference-in-differences, we estimate the effect of AD tariffs on trade, the protected national suppliers, and the sectors linked to these suppliers.

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Mar
24
3:00 PM15:00

Ina Simonovska (UC Davis): Economic Stabilizers in Emerging Markets: The Case for Trade Credit

We study the interplay between bank and trade credit in emerging markets. We document that small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) trade off bank for trade credit, while large firms are more likely to extend trade credit, especially during financial crises. We develop a model of heterogeneous firms that extend state-contingent credit to each other along supply chains for the purpose of providing insurance in the case of adverse economic shocks. The model predicts that firms obtain more trade credit the less bank credit they have available, the larger is their scale of operation, and the more-debt constrained they are relative to their trading partner. Further, more debtconstrained firms receive more state-contingent trade credit from their less-constrained partners. We validate the model’s predictions using detailed firm-level data from emerging economies. We conclude that the insurance channel of trade credit earns it a role of a macroeconomic stabilizer in emerging markets.

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Jan
27
3:00 PM15:00

Laura Castillo-Martinez (Duke): Sudden Stops, Productivity, and the Exchange Rate

Following a sudden stop, real exchange rates can adjust through a nominal exchange rate depreciation, lower domestic prices, or a combination of both. This paper makes three contributions to understand how the type of adjustment shapes the response of macroeconomic variables, in particular productivity, to such an episode.

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Sep
23
3:00 PM15:00

Gary Lyn (Iowa State): Heterogeneity and Market Adaptation to Climate Change in Dynamic- Spatial Equilibrium

Climate change is expected to significantly affect the planet, but the ultimate economic impact depends on the structure of the economy and the extent to which markets can adapt to changes in local climatic conditions. Here we develop a dynamic-spatial multi-industry climate-economy model with several novel forms of heterogeneity.

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